Bulan November lalu, Senat Amerika Serikat melakukan voting untuk menaikkan batas hutang federal sebesar 800 milyar dollar - sebagai tambahan terhadap hutang berjalan sebesar 7,4 trilyun dollar. Kenaikan ini merupakan kenaikan terbesar ketiga pada limit hutang federal sejak presiden Bush menjadi presieden pada 2001. Dengan batas hutang yang baru ini, pemerintah AS akan menambah hutang federal sebesar 2,1 trilyun dollar dalam kurun kurang dari 4 tahun.
Apa artinya hal ini bagi rakyat Amerika?? itu berarti, sebelum kenaikan batas hutang yang baru, setiap pria, wanita dan anak di Amerika Serikat menanggung hutang negara sebesar $25.000. Dengan kenaikan hutang yang baru, itu berarti tanggungan mereka terhadap hutang hutang negara meningkat $2700. Meskipun demikian, yang lebih penting lagi, itu berarti rakyat amerika harus membayar hutang tersebut ditambah bunga bagaimanapun caranya.
Bagi "baby born" saat ini, hutang nasional itu tidak lebih daripada pajak kelahiran. "Selamat datang ke dunia, dan inilah pajak anda. Anda saat ini berhutang $25.000 ditambah bunga dan kami akan tambahkan ke pinjaman pokok". Ini merupakan warisan yang menyedihkan bagi anak-anak amerika.
Pada pemilihan presiden tahun 2000, presiden Bush menjanjikan pada pemilihnya pemerintahan yang bertanggung-jawab secara finansial. Ia mengklaim program pemotongan pajak yang bermanfaat, insentif-insentif pajak bagi pebisnis dan individu, insentif pada investasi yang membuat lapangan kerja, serta pendekatan komprehensif dan efisien untuk mengurangi pengangguran. Alih-alih, pemerintahan ini telah mengantarkan rekor catatan merah dan hutang negara yang harus dilunasi oleh anak keturunan penduduk amerika saat ini.
Lebih menyedihkan lagi, setelah kongres menaikkan batas hutang negara sebesar 800 milyar dollar, para pakar soal budget negara memproyeksan bahwa plafonnya saat mungkin perlu dinaikkan lagi dalam masa satu tahun yang memaksa pemerintah untuk terus berhutang ke program-program federal yang telah mengalami penetatan ikat pinggan, seperti misalnya program jaring pengaman sosial (sosial security).
Kurangnya tanggung-jawab fiskal ini akan dirasakan oleh segenap penduduk amerika. Selain itu, ada hal lain lagi. Kongres segera akan diminta untuk mempertimbangkan sekitar 70 milyar dollar tambahan dana untuk perang Irak tapi belum menemukan sumber dana yang akan menutupi "kebocoran" tersebut.
Menurut perkiraan saya, dalam waktu yang tidak lama, bangsa Amerika tidak jatuh karena perang, tapi ke keterpurukan dan kebangkutan yang dilakukan sejumlah orangnya sendiri. Selamat datang ke dunia baru tanpa amerika di peta perekonomian. Seperti kita lihat, negara-negara Eropa bersatu dalam hal ekonomi, negeri-negeri asia timur melesat dalam hal ekonomi, tetapi di amerika sendiri terlihat betapa bobroknya fundamental ekonominya karena perekonomian mereka berlandaskan hutang dan bunga. Saya dengar negeri Iran malah bersih daripada hutang.
*)Sumber: Senator Barbara Boxer dalam emailnya terhadap saya
This is the page where I put my scratches, notes, or to dump anything in my mind. Halaman ini adalah tempat saya menempatkan oret2an, coret-moret dan unek2 saya.
Sunday, December 05, 2004
Monday, November 29, 2004
Dead-Check in Falluja
by Evan Wright
Embedded with the Marines in Iraq
On April 9, 2003, the day the statue of Saddam Hussein was being toppled in Baghdad, symbolizing the promised liberation of Iraq, I was embedded with a Marine unit engaged in fierce combat about 30 miles north of the city, on the outskirts of Baquba. Late that afternoon, the Humvee I was in was following about 50 feet behind a Marine Light Armored Vehicle when it pulled alongside a Toyota pickup pushed to the side of the road, its doors riddled with bullet holes. The head of at least one occupant was visible in the truck, but I couldn't determine if he was moving or not. Nor did I see any weapons. As our Humvee stopped behind the truck, a Marine in the vehicle ahead of us leapt out, pointed his rifle into the window of the pickup and sprayed it with gunfire. It was a cold-blooded execution.
As we continued forward, passing the truck, I glimpsed at least two corpses sprawled on the seats, the interior spattered with blood. During the brief moment I looked, I was unable to determine whether the dead men possessed weapons. None of the four Marines in our Humvee said anything. We had been awake for more than 30 hours, much of that time under steady mortar, rifle, machine-gun, and rocket-propelled grenade fire from enemy combatants who dressed in civilian clothes and moved around on the battlefield in Toyota pickups. (To make matters even more confusing, during the height of combat farmers were racing into the surrounding fields—where enemy soldiers were shooting at us from dug-in, concealed positions—in order to rescue sheep from the gunfire.)
In the previous few minutes we had already passed more than a dozen corpses strewn by the side of the road. Some had the tops of their heads missing, expertly hit by Marine riflemen. Others were burned—still smoking, actually—having crawled out of other vehicles set ablaze by rockets fired from Marine helicopters. The execution of one or two more men wasn't worth commenting on.
I greeted the sight of dead Iraqis in the pickup with a sense of numb relief. At least they would not be trying to kill us that day. In the preceding two-and-a-half weeks, the unit I was embedded with had come under frequent enemy attack, with three Marines wounded. There were 23 bullet holes in the Humvee I rode in—miraculously, none of the five of us inside had been hit. I had developed a strange relationship with the sight of dead Iraqis. I felt safer when I saw them.
I felt especially comforted when I saw dead men by the road still clutching weapons in their hands, a common sight. Unfortunately, of the hundreds of dead people I saw on the roads leading from the Kuwait border to Baghdad, perhaps 20 percent or more were obviously civilians. I will never forget the three or four women I saw fatally shot and partially burned, still seated in a bus on the road north of Nasiriyah. Or the little girl, about four, lying by the side of the road in a pretty dress, her legs neatly and inexplicably chopped off at the knees. Mercifully, I remember thinking at the time, she was dead like all the others.
Since my return from Iraq, I have continued to watch the horror unfold on television. It's different seeing the violence decontextualized from the battlefield, now playing out in discrete video clips that run between ads for Chevys and the Olive Garden. Videos of militants staging beheadings against dungeon-like backdrops, with the perpetrators wearing masks and the victims in colorful jumpsuits, seem almost like grotesque TV shows.
One of the great ironies of the Bush administration, obsessed as it is with Christian values and the attendant crusade to punish what it deems obscene and lewd in the media (from Janet Jackson's breast to Howard Stern's speech), is that it has given us a war in which the airing of snuff films on national TV has become routine. The conflict in Iraq, as seen through news coverage, has begun to resemble the macabre underground 1980s video series Faces of Death. Throw in the images produced by the U.S. Army at Abu Ghraib, and the administration has put itself in the running to successfully compete with the BDSM side of the porn industry.
Just as I thought I was adjusting to the video carnage, NBC correspondent Kevin Sites, embedded with U.S. forces in Falluja, gave us last week's shocker: the video of a Marine standing over a wounded, apparently unarmed Arab sprawled on the floor of a mosque and executing him with a gunshot to the head.
It brought back memories of the April 9 episode and others I witnessed in Iraq. Yet, watching this on TV, I felt the same outrage many others have expressed. American soldiers, we like to believe, don't shoot unarmed people. Not only is this morally repugnant, but execution of wounded, unarmed combatants violates Article Three of the Geneva Convention Relative to the Treatment of Prisoners of War, which states in part that "persons taking no active part in the hostilities, including members of armed forces who have laid down their arms and those placed hors de combat by sickness, wounds, detention, or any other cause, shall in all circumstances be treated humanely."
Even to those unfamiliar with the Geneva Conventions, it seems obvious from the mosque video that a war crime was committed. The response from the administration and military officials has been unusually swift. Ambassador to Iraq John Negroponte conveyed his regrets to Prime Minister Ayad Allawi and vowed that "the individual in question will be dealt with." The Marine in the video, whose name has been withheld, was pulled from duty, and his commanders issued a statement promising to investigate what they called "an allegation of the unlawful use of force in the death of an enemy combatant." Lieutenant General John F. Sattler, commander of the 1st Marine Expeditionary Force in Iraq, added in an interview, "We follow the law of armed conflict and hold ourselves to a high standard of accountability."
One thing military officials are not saying is that the behavior of the Marine in the video closely conforms to training that is fairly standard in some units. Marines call executing wounded combatants "dead-checking."
"They teach us to do dead-checking when we're clearing rooms," an enlisted Marine recently returned from Iraq told me. "You put two bullets into the guy's chest and one in the brain. But when you enter a room where guys are wounded you might not know if they're alive or dead. So they teach us to dead-check them by pressing them in the eye with your boot, because generally a person, even if he's faking being dead, will flinch if you poke him there. If he moves, you put a bullet in the brain. You do this to keep the momentum going when you're flowing through a building. You don't want a guy popping up behind you and shooting you."
What I'd seen on that road outside of Baquba on April 9 was a dead-check. The Marine who fired into that Toyota with wounded men inside didn't want anybody shooting at us as we went past. It may have been a war crime, and had I possessed a video camera at the time and filmed it, the Marine who fired into the truck might have faced punishment. As it was, no one questioned the Marine's actions.
In fact, commanders in the Marine Corps during the period I was embedded with them in the spring of 2003 repeatedly emphasized that the men's actions would not be questioned. As one of the officers in the unit I followed used to tell his men, "You will be held accountable for the facts not as they are in hindsight but as they appeared to you at the time. If, in your mind, you fire to protect yourself or your men, you are doing the right thing. It doesn't matter if later on we find out you wiped out a family of unarmed civilians."
Commanders didn't want their men to suffer casualties because they were overly constrained by rules of engagement. At the same time, Marines were constantly drilled in refraining from shooting their weapons, even at certain times when they came under fire. On one afternoon I recall in particular, the unit I was with was ordered to hold a position on the outskirts of a hostile town. For six hours, insurgents fired at the Marines from rooftops and from behind piles of rubble they'd set up in streets as barricades. But the Marines I was with, unable to pinpoint the exact locations of the enemy shooters, refused to fire back for fear of hitting civilians. The 22-year-old radio operator of the team I was with had it within his power to call in an artillery strike on the corner of the town where most of the enemy forces seemed concentrated. At one point, while I was crouched in the dirt, taking cover behind the tire of the Humvee as enemy sniper rounds popped into the dust nearby, I asked him why he didn't call in a strike. He simply laughed at my display of fear.
There were other times when the enlisted men in the unit fell into violent quarrels with others whom they felt were too aggressive and risked civilian lives. In one instance, enlisted men nearly came to blows with an officer whom they accused of firing a weapon into a house that they believed contained civilians. Despite their concern, terrible mistakes were made. I was standing next to a 22-year-old Marine from the Humvee I rode in when he fired his machine gun prematurely at a civilian car approaching a roadblock, striking the driver, an unarmed man, in the eye. The unit was subsequently ordered to drive past the car without rendering aid. I sat next to the gunner as we crept past, listening to the dying man gasp for breath. The gunner didn't talk for the next three days. A few days earlier, the youngest Marine on the team had shot a 12-year-old boy four times in the chest with his machine gun, mistakenly thinking a stick the boy had been carrying was a weapon. When the mother and grandmother of the boy later dragged him to the Marines' lines seeking medical aid, the sergeant who led the team dropped down in front of the mother and cried.
The Marines constantly debated the morality of what they were engaged in. A sergeant in the platoon told me he had consulted with his priest about killing. The priest had told him it was all right to kill for his government so long as he didn't enjoy it. By the time the unit reached the outskirts of Baghdad, this sergeant was certain he had already killed at least four men. When his battalion commander praised the unit for "slaying dragons" on the way to Baghdad, the sergeant later told his men, "If we did half the shit back home we've done here, we'd be in prison." By then, the sergeant told me, he'd reconsidered what his priest had told him about killing. "Where the fuck did Jesus say it's OK to kill people for your government? Any priest who tells me that has got no credibility."
He and several other Marines recently returned from Iraq (many from their second tours) whom I've talked to about the Falluja shooting say they are not sure they would have dead-checked the wounded man in the mosque had they been in the same position. Most say they probably would have, even though the mosque had already been cleared once. "What does the American public think happens when they tell us to assault a city?" one of them said. "Marines don't shoot rainbows out of our asses. We fucking kill people."
Another Marine in the unit I followed—a Democrat's dream, he returned home from fighting in Falluja in time to vote for Kerry—added, "Americans celebrate war in their movies. We like to see visions of evil being defeated by good. When the people at home glimpse the reality of war, that it's a bloodbath, they freak out. We are a subculture they created and programmed to fight their wars. You have to become a psycho to kill like we do. To most Marines that guy in the mosque was just someone who didn't get hit in the right place the first time we shot him. I probably would have put a bullet in his brain if I'd been there. If the American public doesn't like the violence of war, maybe before they start the next war they shouldn't rush so much."
Evan Wright is the author of Generation Kill, about a Marine reconnaissance unit in Iraq.
http://www.villagevoice.com/issues/0447/wright.php
Embedded with the Marines in Iraq
On April 9, 2003, the day the statue of Saddam Hussein was being toppled in Baghdad, symbolizing the promised liberation of Iraq, I was embedded with a Marine unit engaged in fierce combat about 30 miles north of the city, on the outskirts of Baquba. Late that afternoon, the Humvee I was in was following about 50 feet behind a Marine Light Armored Vehicle when it pulled alongside a Toyota pickup pushed to the side of the road, its doors riddled with bullet holes. The head of at least one occupant was visible in the truck, but I couldn't determine if he was moving or not. Nor did I see any weapons. As our Humvee stopped behind the truck, a Marine in the vehicle ahead of us leapt out, pointed his rifle into the window of the pickup and sprayed it with gunfire. It was a cold-blooded execution.
As we continued forward, passing the truck, I glimpsed at least two corpses sprawled on the seats, the interior spattered with blood. During the brief moment I looked, I was unable to determine whether the dead men possessed weapons. None of the four Marines in our Humvee said anything. We had been awake for more than 30 hours, much of that time under steady mortar, rifle, machine-gun, and rocket-propelled grenade fire from enemy combatants who dressed in civilian clothes and moved around on the battlefield in Toyota pickups. (To make matters even more confusing, during the height of combat farmers were racing into the surrounding fields—where enemy soldiers were shooting at us from dug-in, concealed positions—in order to rescue sheep from the gunfire.)
In the previous few minutes we had already passed more than a dozen corpses strewn by the side of the road. Some had the tops of their heads missing, expertly hit by Marine riflemen. Others were burned—still smoking, actually—having crawled out of other vehicles set ablaze by rockets fired from Marine helicopters. The execution of one or two more men wasn't worth commenting on.
I greeted the sight of dead Iraqis in the pickup with a sense of numb relief. At least they would not be trying to kill us that day. In the preceding two-and-a-half weeks, the unit I was embedded with had come under frequent enemy attack, with three Marines wounded. There were 23 bullet holes in the Humvee I rode in—miraculously, none of the five of us inside had been hit. I had developed a strange relationship with the sight of dead Iraqis. I felt safer when I saw them.
I felt especially comforted when I saw dead men by the road still clutching weapons in their hands, a common sight. Unfortunately, of the hundreds of dead people I saw on the roads leading from the Kuwait border to Baghdad, perhaps 20 percent or more were obviously civilians. I will never forget the three or four women I saw fatally shot and partially burned, still seated in a bus on the road north of Nasiriyah. Or the little girl, about four, lying by the side of the road in a pretty dress, her legs neatly and inexplicably chopped off at the knees. Mercifully, I remember thinking at the time, she was dead like all the others.
Since my return from Iraq, I have continued to watch the horror unfold on television. It's different seeing the violence decontextualized from the battlefield, now playing out in discrete video clips that run between ads for Chevys and the Olive Garden. Videos of militants staging beheadings against dungeon-like backdrops, with the perpetrators wearing masks and the victims in colorful jumpsuits, seem almost like grotesque TV shows.
One of the great ironies of the Bush administration, obsessed as it is with Christian values and the attendant crusade to punish what it deems obscene and lewd in the media (from Janet Jackson's breast to Howard Stern's speech), is that it has given us a war in which the airing of snuff films on national TV has become routine. The conflict in Iraq, as seen through news coverage, has begun to resemble the macabre underground 1980s video series Faces of Death. Throw in the images produced by the U.S. Army at Abu Ghraib, and the administration has put itself in the running to successfully compete with the BDSM side of the porn industry.
Just as I thought I was adjusting to the video carnage, NBC correspondent Kevin Sites, embedded with U.S. forces in Falluja, gave us last week's shocker: the video of a Marine standing over a wounded, apparently unarmed Arab sprawled on the floor of a mosque and executing him with a gunshot to the head.
It brought back memories of the April 9 episode and others I witnessed in Iraq. Yet, watching this on TV, I felt the same outrage many others have expressed. American soldiers, we like to believe, don't shoot unarmed people. Not only is this morally repugnant, but execution of wounded, unarmed combatants violates Article Three of the Geneva Convention Relative to the Treatment of Prisoners of War, which states in part that "persons taking no active part in the hostilities, including members of armed forces who have laid down their arms and those placed hors de combat by sickness, wounds, detention, or any other cause, shall in all circumstances be treated humanely."
Even to those unfamiliar with the Geneva Conventions, it seems obvious from the mosque video that a war crime was committed. The response from the administration and military officials has been unusually swift. Ambassador to Iraq John Negroponte conveyed his regrets to Prime Minister Ayad Allawi and vowed that "the individual in question will be dealt with." The Marine in the video, whose name has been withheld, was pulled from duty, and his commanders issued a statement promising to investigate what they called "an allegation of the unlawful use of force in the death of an enemy combatant." Lieutenant General John F. Sattler, commander of the 1st Marine Expeditionary Force in Iraq, added in an interview, "We follow the law of armed conflict and hold ourselves to a high standard of accountability."
One thing military officials are not saying is that the behavior of the Marine in the video closely conforms to training that is fairly standard in some units. Marines call executing wounded combatants "dead-checking."
"They teach us to do dead-checking when we're clearing rooms," an enlisted Marine recently returned from Iraq told me. "You put two bullets into the guy's chest and one in the brain. But when you enter a room where guys are wounded you might not know if they're alive or dead. So they teach us to dead-check them by pressing them in the eye with your boot, because generally a person, even if he's faking being dead, will flinch if you poke him there. If he moves, you put a bullet in the brain. You do this to keep the momentum going when you're flowing through a building. You don't want a guy popping up behind you and shooting you."
What I'd seen on that road outside of Baquba on April 9 was a dead-check. The Marine who fired into that Toyota with wounded men inside didn't want anybody shooting at us as we went past. It may have been a war crime, and had I possessed a video camera at the time and filmed it, the Marine who fired into the truck might have faced punishment. As it was, no one questioned the Marine's actions.
In fact, commanders in the Marine Corps during the period I was embedded with them in the spring of 2003 repeatedly emphasized that the men's actions would not be questioned. As one of the officers in the unit I followed used to tell his men, "You will be held accountable for the facts not as they are in hindsight but as they appeared to you at the time. If, in your mind, you fire to protect yourself or your men, you are doing the right thing. It doesn't matter if later on we find out you wiped out a family of unarmed civilians."
Commanders didn't want their men to suffer casualties because they were overly constrained by rules of engagement. At the same time, Marines were constantly drilled in refraining from shooting their weapons, even at certain times when they came under fire. On one afternoon I recall in particular, the unit I was with was ordered to hold a position on the outskirts of a hostile town. For six hours, insurgents fired at the Marines from rooftops and from behind piles of rubble they'd set up in streets as barricades. But the Marines I was with, unable to pinpoint the exact locations of the enemy shooters, refused to fire back for fear of hitting civilians. The 22-year-old radio operator of the team I was with had it within his power to call in an artillery strike on the corner of the town where most of the enemy forces seemed concentrated. At one point, while I was crouched in the dirt, taking cover behind the tire of the Humvee as enemy sniper rounds popped into the dust nearby, I asked him why he didn't call in a strike. He simply laughed at my display of fear.
There were other times when the enlisted men in the unit fell into violent quarrels with others whom they felt were too aggressive and risked civilian lives. In one instance, enlisted men nearly came to blows with an officer whom they accused of firing a weapon into a house that they believed contained civilians. Despite their concern, terrible mistakes were made. I was standing next to a 22-year-old Marine from the Humvee I rode in when he fired his machine gun prematurely at a civilian car approaching a roadblock, striking the driver, an unarmed man, in the eye. The unit was subsequently ordered to drive past the car without rendering aid. I sat next to the gunner as we crept past, listening to the dying man gasp for breath. The gunner didn't talk for the next three days. A few days earlier, the youngest Marine on the team had shot a 12-year-old boy four times in the chest with his machine gun, mistakenly thinking a stick the boy had been carrying was a weapon. When the mother and grandmother of the boy later dragged him to the Marines' lines seeking medical aid, the sergeant who led the team dropped down in front of the mother and cried.
The Marines constantly debated the morality of what they were engaged in. A sergeant in the platoon told me he had consulted with his priest about killing. The priest had told him it was all right to kill for his government so long as he didn't enjoy it. By the time the unit reached the outskirts of Baghdad, this sergeant was certain he had already killed at least four men. When his battalion commander praised the unit for "slaying dragons" on the way to Baghdad, the sergeant later told his men, "If we did half the shit back home we've done here, we'd be in prison." By then, the sergeant told me, he'd reconsidered what his priest had told him about killing. "Where the fuck did Jesus say it's OK to kill people for your government? Any priest who tells me that has got no credibility."
He and several other Marines recently returned from Iraq (many from their second tours) whom I've talked to about the Falluja shooting say they are not sure they would have dead-checked the wounded man in the mosque had they been in the same position. Most say they probably would have, even though the mosque had already been cleared once. "What does the American public think happens when they tell us to assault a city?" one of them said. "Marines don't shoot rainbows out of our asses. We fucking kill people."
Another Marine in the unit I followed—a Democrat's dream, he returned home from fighting in Falluja in time to vote for Kerry—added, "Americans celebrate war in their movies. We like to see visions of evil being defeated by good. When the people at home glimpse the reality of war, that it's a bloodbath, they freak out. We are a subculture they created and programmed to fight their wars. You have to become a psycho to kill like we do. To most Marines that guy in the mosque was just someone who didn't get hit in the right place the first time we shot him. I probably would have put a bullet in his brain if I'd been there. If the American public doesn't like the violence of war, maybe before they start the next war they shouldn't rush so much."
Evan Wright is the author of Generation Kill, about a Marine reconnaissance unit in Iraq.
http://www.villagevoice.com/issues/0447/wright.php
Saturday, November 27, 2004
Bangsa Penyembah Anjing
Menurut statistik, penduduk Amerika adalah salah satu penduduk yang paling banyak memelihara anjing. Dari data di website http://www.apapets.com/petstats2.htm pada sensus binatan bulan Maret 2003, terdapat 44,874,121 pemilik anjing yang memiliki total 62,965,745 anjing dan 76,688,522 kucing dengan total 139,654,267 kucing dan anjing.
Dari 102.8 juta penduduk Amerika, 33.2 juta paling tidak memelihara kucing. Yang cukup mengejutkan adalah, lebih dari separuh pemilik anjing lebih dekat hubungan dengan binatang peliharaan mereka dibanding manusia. Angka-angka jumlah pemilik binatang peliharaan berikut menyajikan betapa bangsa Amerika lebih sayang binatang dibanding manusia:
A) Sebagai teman dekat: 16,213,555
B) Menganggap anak: 8,321,566
C) Menganggap sebagai pasangannya: 5,421,959
39% dari pemelihara binatang peliharaan di Amerika menampilkan foto binatang peliharaan mereka di rumah.
16% pemilik binatang peliharaan menyimpan satu foto binatang peliharaan mereka di dompet/tas mereka.
Kalau kita melihat sehari-hari di sekitar, banyak sekali orang-orang amerika yang menuntun anjing mereka. Sering kali terkesan, yang mana tuan dan yang mana peliharaan menjadi tidak jelas. Bayangkan, sering tuannya diseret oleh anjing peliharaan mereka. Tuan-tuan mereka menunggu ketika binatang-binatang tersebut membuang hajatnya, dan karena aturan di banyak kota di sana mengharuskan tuannya membersihkan kotoran-kotoran tersebut dari jalanana, sering tuan-tuan mereka membersihkan/mengambil kotoran tersebut ke kantong-kantong plastik yang mereka bawa. Hal seperti itu jauh lebih jarang terjadi kalau mereka mengajak anak mereka.
Dari pagi hingga petang mereka mengajak anjing-anjing mereka bermain, berjalan-jalan. Tidak demikian terhadap anak-anak mereka. Banyak penduduk di sini lebih memilih anjing sebagai "pasangan hidup" mereka dibanding menikah atau berkeluarga.
Tidak heran, sifat penduduk Amerika mirip dengan anjing. Galak, tidak peduli terhadap bangsa lain dan arogan.
Dari 102.8 juta penduduk Amerika, 33.2 juta paling tidak memelihara kucing. Yang cukup mengejutkan adalah, lebih dari separuh pemilik anjing lebih dekat hubungan dengan binatang peliharaan mereka dibanding manusia. Angka-angka jumlah pemilik binatang peliharaan berikut menyajikan betapa bangsa Amerika lebih sayang binatang dibanding manusia:
A) Sebagai teman dekat: 16,213,555
B) Menganggap anak: 8,321,566
C) Menganggap sebagai pasangannya: 5,421,959
39% dari pemelihara binatang peliharaan di Amerika menampilkan foto binatang peliharaan mereka di rumah.
16% pemilik binatang peliharaan menyimpan satu foto binatang peliharaan mereka di dompet/tas mereka.
Kalau kita melihat sehari-hari di sekitar, banyak sekali orang-orang amerika yang menuntun anjing mereka. Sering kali terkesan, yang mana tuan dan yang mana peliharaan menjadi tidak jelas. Bayangkan, sering tuannya diseret oleh anjing peliharaan mereka. Tuan-tuan mereka menunggu ketika binatang-binatang tersebut membuang hajatnya, dan karena aturan di banyak kota di sana mengharuskan tuannya membersihkan kotoran-kotoran tersebut dari jalanana, sering tuan-tuan mereka membersihkan/mengambil kotoran tersebut ke kantong-kantong plastik yang mereka bawa. Hal seperti itu jauh lebih jarang terjadi kalau mereka mengajak anak mereka.
Dari pagi hingga petang mereka mengajak anjing-anjing mereka bermain, berjalan-jalan. Tidak demikian terhadap anak-anak mereka. Banyak penduduk di sini lebih memilih anjing sebagai "pasangan hidup" mereka dibanding menikah atau berkeluarga.
Tidak heran, sifat penduduk Amerika mirip dengan anjing. Galak, tidak peduli terhadap bangsa lain dan arogan.
Tuesday, November 02, 2004
Akankah Kerry akan Menang?
Hari ini sedang berlangsung pemilihan presiden. Dua calon utama yang berlaga adalah John Kerry menantang presiden berjalan, George W. Bush Jr.
Akankah Kerry akan menang? Entahlah. Kita tunggu saja perhitungan suara yang akan berlangsung segera. Moga-moga saja dengan terpilihnya presiden baru akan membuat dunia lebih damai dan aman (mesti masih ada batu ganjalan besar, yakni negeri zionis dan teroris: Israel)
Akankah Kerry akan menang? Entahlah. Kita tunggu saja perhitungan suara yang akan berlangsung segera. Moga-moga saja dengan terpilihnya presiden baru akan membuat dunia lebih damai dan aman (mesti masih ada batu ganjalan besar, yakni negeri zionis dan teroris: Israel)
Thursday, October 28, 2004
Mengalahkan Israel lewat Amerika
Selama ini publik dunia (kecuali penduduk Amerika sendiri) telah mengetahui bahwa bangsa Israel telah mengontrol total kebijakan-kebijakan luar negeri Amerika, terutama yang berkaitan dengan konflik timur-tengah. Hal ini tidak lepas dengan sangat kuatnya lobby politik para pemain ekonomi di Wall-Street, industriawan dan politikus yahudi di Amerika.
Sempatkah kita terpikir bahwa hampir tidak mungkin mengalahkan Israel tanpa memutuskan tali "persaudaraan" Israel-Amerika ini. Tali yang telah dirajut sejak perang dunia II (atau bahkan sebelum PD-II) tersebut membuat negeri Amerika seperti "kerbau jinak" bagi Israel. Besar dan kuat dan dapat diperas tenaganya untuk kepentingan negeri zionis tersebut.
Salah satu ide untuk paling tidak mulai melemahkan ikatan ini adalah memilih wakil-wakil di senat dan kongres yang tidak pro-zionis atau paling tidak netral. Selain itu, perlu juga setiap muslim amerika menempatkan dirinya di posisi-posisi strategis, seperti di kancah dunia politik, industri strategis dan kalau bisa ada satu-dua yang menjadi billionaire tetapi masih tetap beriman.
Cara ini adalah cara yang sama ditempuh oleh para imigran yahudi di saat awal-awal mereka tinggal di negeri paman Sam. Jika lihat protokol Zionis dan sejarah, banyak sekali para pemimpin bangsa pembuat terror dunia menganjurkan warga amerika keturunan yahudi untuk menguasai bisnis, media dan menguasai ekonomi.
Sempatkah kita terpikir bahwa hampir tidak mungkin mengalahkan Israel tanpa memutuskan tali "persaudaraan" Israel-Amerika ini. Tali yang telah dirajut sejak perang dunia II (atau bahkan sebelum PD-II) tersebut membuat negeri Amerika seperti "kerbau jinak" bagi Israel. Besar dan kuat dan dapat diperas tenaganya untuk kepentingan negeri zionis tersebut.
Salah satu ide untuk paling tidak mulai melemahkan ikatan ini adalah memilih wakil-wakil di senat dan kongres yang tidak pro-zionis atau paling tidak netral. Selain itu, perlu juga setiap muslim amerika menempatkan dirinya di posisi-posisi strategis, seperti di kancah dunia politik, industri strategis dan kalau bisa ada satu-dua yang menjadi billionaire tetapi masih tetap beriman.
Cara ini adalah cara yang sama ditempuh oleh para imigran yahudi di saat awal-awal mereka tinggal di negeri paman Sam. Jika lihat protokol Zionis dan sejarah, banyak sekali para pemimpin bangsa pembuat terror dunia menganjurkan warga amerika keturunan yahudi untuk menguasai bisnis, media dan menguasai ekonomi.
Iran: A Bridge too Far?
Somebody forwarded me this article.
Interesting!
Iran: A Bridge too Far?
The Sunburn’s combined supersonic speed and payload size produce tremendous kinetic energy on impact, with devastating consequences for ship and crew. A single one of these missiles can sink a large warship, yet costs considerably less than a fighter jet. Although the Navy has been phasing out the older Phalanx defense system, its replacement, known as the Rolling Action Missile (RAM) has never been tested against the weapon it seems destined to one day face in combat.
Interesting!
A word to the reader from the author: The following paper is so shocking that, after preparing the initial draft, I didn’t want to believe it myself, and resolved to disprove it with more research. However, I only succeeded in turning up more evidence in support of my thesis. And I repeated this cycle of discovery and denial several more times before finally deciding to go with the article. I believe that a serious writer must follow the trail of evidence, no matter where it leads, and report back. So here is my story. Don’t be surprised if it causes you to squirm. Its purpose is not to make predictions –– history makes fools of those who claim to know the future –– but simply to describe the peril that awaits us in the Persian Gulf. By awakening to the extent of that danger, perhaps we can still find a way to save our nation and the world from disaster. If we are very lucky, we might even create an alternative future that holds some promise of resolving the monumental conflicts of our time. Mark Gaffney
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Iran: A Bridge too Far?
by Mark Gaffney
10/26/04 "ICH" -- Last July, they dubbed it operation Summer Pulse: a simultaneous mustering of US Naval forces, world wide, that was unprecedented. According to the Navy, it was the first exercise of its new Fleet Response Plan (FRP), the purpose of which was to enable the Navy to respond quickly to an international crisis. The Navy wanted to show its increased force readiness, that is, its capacity to rapidly move combat power to any global hot spot. Never in the history of the US Navy had so many carrier battle groups been involved in a single operation. Even the US fleet massed in the Gulf and eastern Mediterranean during operation Desert Storm in 1991, and in the recent invasion of Iraq, never exceeded six battle groups. But last July and August there were seven of them on the move, each battle group consisting of a Nimitz-class aircraft carrier with its full complement of 7-8 supporting ships, and 70 or more assorted aircraft. Most of the activity, according to various reports, was in the Pacific, where the fleet participated in joint exercises with the Taiwanese navy.
But why so much naval power underway at the same time? What potential world crisis could possibly require more battle groups than were deployed during the recent invasion of Iraq? In past years, when the US has seen fit to “show the flag” or flex its naval muscle, one or two carrier groups have sufficed. Why this global show of power?
The news headlines about the joint-maneuvers in the South China Sea read: “Saber Rattling Unnerves China”, and: “Huge Show of Force Worries Chinese.” But the reality was quite different, and, as we shall see, has grave ramifications for the continuing US military presence in the Persian Gulf; because operation Summer Pulse reflected a high-level Pentagon decision that an unprecedented show of strength was needed to counter what is viewed as a growing threat –– in the particular case of China, because of Peking’s newest Sovremenny-class destroyers recently acquired from Russia.
“Nonsense!” you are probably thinking. That’s impossible. How could a few picayune destroyers threaten the US Pacific fleet?”
Here is where the story thickens: Summer Pulse amounted to a tacit acknowledgement, obvious to anyone paying attention, that the United States has been eclipsed in an important area of military technology, and that this qualitative edge is now being wielded by others, including the Chinese; because those otherwise very ordinary destroyers were, in fact, launching platforms for Russian-made 3M-82 Moskit anti-ship cruise missiles (NATO designation: SS-N-22 Sunburn), a weapon for which the US Navy currently has no defense. Here I am not suggesting that the US status of lone world Superpower has been surpassed. I am simply saying that a new global balance of power is emerging, in which other individual states may, on occasion, achieve “an asymmetric advantage” over the US. And this, in my view, explains the immense scale of Summer Pulse. The US show last summer of overwhelming strength was calculated to send a message.
The Sunburn Missile
I was shocked when I learned the facts about these Russian-made cruise missiles. The problem is that so many of us suffer from two common misperceptions. The first follows from our assumption that Russia is militarily weak, as a result of the breakup of the old Soviet system. Actually, this is accurate, but it does not reflect the complexities. Although the Russian navy continues to rust in port, and the Russian army is in disarray, in certain key areas Russian technology is actually superior to our own. And nowhere is this truer than in the vital area of anti-ship cruise missile technology, where the Russians hold at least a ten-year lead over the US. The second misperception has to do with our complacency in general about missiles-as-weapons –– probably attributable to the pathetic performance of Saddam Hussein’s Scuds during the first Gulf war: a dangerous illusion that I will now attempt to rectify.
Many years ago, Soviet planners gave up trying to match the US Navy ship for ship, gun for gun, and dollar for dollar. The Soviets simply could not compete with the high levels of US spending required to build up and maintain a huge naval armada. They shrewdly adopted an alternative approach based on strategic defense. They searched for weaknesses, and sought relatively inexpensive ways to exploit those weaknesses. The Soviets succeeded: by developing several supersonic anti-ship missiles, one of which, the SS-N-22 Sunburn, has been called “the most lethal missile in the world today.”
After the collapse of the Soviet Union the old military establishment fell upon hard times. But in the late1990s Moscow awakened to the under-utilized potential of its missile technology to generate desperately needed foreign exchange. A decision was made to resuscitate selected programs, and, very soon, Russian missile technology became a hot export commodity. Today, Russian missiles are a growth industry generating much-needed cash for Russia, with many billions in combined sales to India, China, Viet Nam, Cuba, and also Iran. In the near future this dissemination of advanced technology is likely to present serious challenges to the US. Some have even warned that the US Navy’s largest ships, the massive carriers, have now become floating death traps, and should for this reason be mothballed.
The Sunburn missile has never seen use in combat, to my knowledge, which probably explains why its fearsome capabilities are not more widely recognized. Other cruise missiles have been used, of course, on several occasions, and with devastating results. During the Falklands War, French-made Exocet missiles, fired from Argentine fighters, sunk the HMS Sheffield and another ship. And, in 1987, during the Iran-Iraq war, the USS Stark was nearly cut in half by a pair of Exocets while on patrol in the Persian Gulf. On that occasion US Aegis radar picked up the incoming Iraqi fighter (a French-made Mirage), and tracked its approach to within 50 miles. The radar also “saw” the Iraqi plane turn about and return to its base. But radar never detected the pilot launch his weapons. The sea-skimming Exocets came smoking in under radar and were only sighted by human eyes moments before they ripped into the Stark, crippling the ship and killing 37 US sailors.
The 1987 surprise attack on the Stark exemplifies the dangers posed by anti-ship cruise missiles. And the dangers are much more serious in the case of the Sunburn, whose specs leave the sub-sonic Exocet in the dust. Not only is the Sunburn much larger and faster, it has far greater range and a superior guidance system. Those who have witnessed its performance trials invariably come away stunned. According to one report, when the Iranian Defense Minister Ali Shamkhani visited Moscow in October 2001 he requested a test firing of the Sunburn, which the Russians were only too happy to arrange. So impressed was Ali Shamkhani that he placed an order for an undisclosed number of the missiles.
The Sunburn can deliver a 200-kiloton nuclear payload, or: a 750-pound conventional warhead, within a range of 100 miles, more than twice the range of the Exocet. The Sunburn combines a Mach 2.1 speed (two times the speed of sound) with a flight pattern that hugs the deck and includes “violent end maneuvers” to elude enemy defenses. The missile was specifically designed to defeat the US Aegis radar defense system. Should a US Navy Phalanx point defense somehow manage to detect an incoming Sunburn missile, the system has only seconds to calculate a fire solution –– not enough time to take out the intruding missile. The US Phalanx defense employs a six-barreled gun that fires 3,000 depleted-uranium rounds a minute, but the gun must have precise coordinates to destroy an intruder “just in time.”
The Sunburn’s combined supersonic speed and payload size produce tremendous kinetic energy on impact, with devastating consequences for ship and crew. A single one of these missiles can sink a large warship, yet costs considerably less than a fighter jet. Although the Navy has been phasing out the older Phalanx defense system, its replacement, known as the Rolling Action Missile (RAM) has never been tested against the weapon it seems destined to one day face in combat.
Implications For US Forces in the Gulf
The US Navy’s only plausible defense against a robust weapon like the Sunburn missile is to detect the enemy’s approach well ahead of time, whether destroyers, subs, or fighter-bombers, and defeat them before they can get in range and launch their deadly cargo. For this purpose US AWACs radar planes assigned to each naval battle group are kept aloft on a rotating schedule. The planes “see” everything within two hundred miles of the fleet, and are complemented with intelligence from orbiting satellites.
But US naval commanders operating in the Persian Gulf face serious challenges that are unique to the littoral, i.e., coastal, environment. A glance at a map shows why: The Gulf is nothing but a large lake, with one narrow outlet, and most of its northern shore, i.e., Iran, consists of mountainous terrain that affords a commanding tactical advantage over ships operating in Gulf waters. The rugged northern shore makes for easy concealment of coastal defenses, such as mobile missile launchers, and also makes their detection problematic. Although it was not widely reported, the US actually lost the battle of the Scuds in the first Gulf War –– termed “the great Scud hunt” –– and for similar reasons. Saddam Hussein’s mobile Scud launchers proved so difficult to detect and destroy –– over and over again the Iraqis fooled allied reconnaissance with decoys –– that during the course of Desert Storm the US was unable to confirm even a single kill. This proved such an embarrassment to the Pentagon, afterwards, that the unpleasant stats were buried in official reports. But the blunt fact is that the US failed to stop the Scud attacks. The launches continued until the last few days of the conflict. Luckily, the Scud’s inaccuracy made it an almost useless weapon. At one point General Norman Schwarzkopf quipped dismissively to the press that his soldiers had a greater chance of being struck by lightning in Georgia than by a Scud in Kuwait.
But that was then, and it would be a grave error to allow the Scud’s ineffectiveness to blur the facts concerning this other missile. The Sunburn’s amazing accuracy was demonstrated not long ago in a live test staged at sea by the Chinese –– and observed by US spy planes. Not only did the Sunburn missile destroy the dummy target ship, it scored a perfect bull’s eye, hitting the crosshairs of a large “X” mounted on the ship’s bridge. The only word that does it justice, awesome, has become a cliché, hackneyed from hyperbolic excess.
The US Navy has never faced anything in combat as formidable as the Sunburn missile. But this will surely change if the US and Israel decide to wage a so-called preventive war against Iran to destroy its nuclear infrastructure. Storm clouds have been darkening over the Gulf for many months. In recent years Israel upgraded its air force with a new fleet of long-range F-15 fighter-bombers, and even more recently took delivery of 5,000 bunker-buster bombs from the US –– weapons that many observers think are intended for use against Iran.
The arming for war has been matched by threats. Israeli officials have declared repeatedly that they will not allow the Mullahs to develop nuclear power, not even reactors to generate electricity for peaceful use. Their threats are particularly worrisome, because Israel has a long history of pre-emptive war. (See my 1989 book Dimona: the Third Temple? and also my 2003 article Will Iran Be Next? posted at < http://www.InformationClearingHouse...article3288.htm >)
Never mind that such a determination is not Israel’s to make, and belongs instead to the international community, as codified in the Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT). With regard to Iran, the International Atomic Energy Agency’s (IAEA’s) recent report (September 2004) is well worth a look, as it repudiates facile claims by the US and Israel that Iran is building bombs. While the report is highly critical of Tehran for its ambiguities and its grudging release of documents, it affirms that IAEA inspectors have been admitted to every nuclear site in the country to which they have sought access, without exception. Last year Iran signed the strengthened IAEA inspection protocol, which until then had been voluntary. And the IAEA has found no hard evidence, to date, either that bombs exist or that Iran has made a decision to build them. (The latest IAEA report can be downloaded at: www.GlobalSecurity.org)
In a talk on October 3, 2004, IAEA Director General Mohamed El Baradei made the clearest statement yet: "Iran has no nuclear weapons program", he said, and then repeated himself for emphasis: “Iran has no nuclear weapons program, but I personally don’t rush to conclusions before all the realities are clarified. So far I see nothing that could be called an imminent danger. I have seen no nuclear weapons program in Iran. What I have seen is that Iran is trying to gain access to nuclear enrichment technology, and so far there is no danger from Iran. Therefore, we should make use of political and diplomatic means before thinking of resorting to other alternatives.”
No one disputes that Tehran is pursuing a dangerous path, but with 200 or more Israeli nukes targeted upon them the Iranians’ insistence on keeping their options open is understandable. Clearly, the nuclear nonproliferation regime today hangs by the slenderest of threads. The world has arrived at a fateful crossroads.
A Fearful Symmetry?
If a showdown over Iran develops in the coming months, the man who could hold the outcome in his hands will be thrust upon the world stage. That man, like him or hate him, is Russian President Vladimir Putin. He has been castigated severely in recent months for gathering too much political power to himself. But according to former Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev, who was interviewed on US television recently by David Brokaw, Putin has not imposed a tyranny upon Russia –– yet. Gorbachev thinks the jury is still out on Putin.
Perhaps, with this in mind, we should be asking whether Vladimir Putin is a serious student of history. If he is, then he surely recognizes that the deepening crisis in the Persian Gulf presents not only manifold dangers, but also opportunities. Be assured that the Russian leader has not forgotten the humiliating defeat Ronald Reagan inflicted upon the old Soviet state. (Have we Americans forgotten?) By the mid-1980s the Soviets were in Kabul, and had all but defeated the Mujahedeen. The Soviet Union appeared secure in its military occupation of Afghanistan. But then, in 1986, the first US Stinger missiles reached the hands of the Afghani resistance; and, quite suddenly, Soviet helicopter gunships and MiGs began dropping out of the skies like flaming stones. The tide swiftly turned, and by 1989 it was all over but the hand wringing and gnashing of teeth in the Kremlin. Defeated, the Soviets slunk back across the frontier. The whole world cheered the American Stingers, which had carried the day.
This very night, as he sips his cognac, what is Vladimir Putin thinking? Is he perhaps thinking about the perverse symmetries of history? If so, he may also be wondering (and discussing with his closest aides) how a truly great nation like the United States could be so blind and so stupid as to allow another state, i.e., Israel, to control its foreign policy, especially in a region as vital (and volatile) as the Mid-East. One can almost hear the Russians’ animated conversation:
“The Americans! What is the matter with them?”
“They simply cannot help themselves.”
“What idiots!”
“A nation as foolish as this deserves to be taught a lesson…”
“Yes! For their own good.”
“It must be a painful lesson, one they will never forget…”
“Are we agreed, then, comrades?”
“Let us teach our American friends a lesson about the limits of military power!”
“They simply cannot help themselves.”
“What idiots!”
“A nation as foolish as this deserves to be taught a lesson…”
“Yes! For their own good.”
“It must be a painful lesson, one they will never forget…”
“Are we agreed, then, comrades?”
“Let us teach our American friends a lesson about the limits of military power!”
Does anyone really believe that Vladimir Putin will hesitate to seize a most rare opportunity to change the course of history and, in the bargain, take his sweet revenge? Surely Putin understands the terrible dimensions of the trap into which the US has blundered, thanks to the Israelis and their neo-con supporters in Washington who lobbied so vociferously for the 2003 invasion of Iraq, against all friendly and expert advice, and who even now beat the drums of war against Iran. Would Putin be wrong to conclude that the US will never leave the region unless it is first defeated militarily? Should we blame him for deciding that Iran is “one bridge too far”? If the US and Israel overreach, and the Iranians close the net with Russian anti-ship missiles, it will be a fearful symmetry, indeed…
Springing the Trap
At the battle of Cannae in 216 BC the great Carthaginian general, Hannibal, tempted a much larger Roman army into a fateful advance, and then enveloped and annihilated it with a smaller force. Out of a Roman army of 70,000 men, no more than a few thousand escaped. It was said that after many hours of dispatching the Romans Hannibal’s soldiers grew so tired that the fight went out of them. In their weariness they granted the last broken and bedraggled Romans their lives…
Let us pray that the US sailors who are unlucky enough to be on duty in the Persian Gulf when the shooting starts can escape the fate of the Roman army at Cannae. The odds will be heavily against them, however, because they will face the same type of danger, tantamount to envelopment. The US ships in the Gulf will already have come within range of the Sunburn missiles and the even more-advanced SS-NX-26 Yakhonts missiles, also Russian-made (speed: Mach 2.9; range: 180 miles) deployed by the Iranians along the Gulf’s northern shore. Every US ship will be exposed and vulnerable. When the Iranians spring the trap, the entire lake will become a killing field.
Anti-ship cruise missiles are not new, as I’ve mentioned. Nor have they yet determined the outcome in a conflict. But this is probably only because these horrible weapons have never been deployed in sufficient numbers. At the time of the Falklands war the Argentine air force possessed only five Exocets, yet managed to sink two ships. With enough of them, the Argentineans might have sunk the entire British fleet, and won the war. Although we’ve never seen a massed attack of cruise missiles, this is exactly what the US Navy could face in the next war in the Gulf. Try and imagine it if you can: barrage after barrage of Exocet-class missiles, which the Iranians are known to possess in the hundreds, as well as the unstoppable Sunburn and Yakhonts missiles. The questions that our purblind government leaders should be asking themselves, today, if they value what historians will one day write about them, are two: how many of the Russian anti-ship missiles has Putin already supplied to Iran? And: How many more are currently in the pipeline? In 2001 Jane’s Defense Weekly reported that Iran was attempting to acquire anti-ship missiles from Russia. Ominously, the same report also mentioned that the more advanced Yakhonts missile was “optimized for attacks against carrier task forces.” Apparently its guidance system is “able to distinguish an aircraft carrier from its escorts.” The numbers were not disclosed…
The US Navy will come under fire even if the US does not participate in the first so-called surgical raids on Iran’s nuclear sites, that is, even if Israel goes it alone. Israel’s brand-new fleet of 25 F-15s (paid for by American taxpayers) has sufficient range to target Iran, but the Israelis cannot mount an attack without crossing US-occupied Iraqi air space. It will hardly matter if Washington gives the green light, or is dragged into the conflict by a recalcitrant Israel. Either way, the result will be the same. The Iranians will interpret US acquiescence as complicity, and, in any event, they will understand that the real fight is with the Americans. The Iranians will be entirely within their rights to counter-attack in self-defense. Most of the world will see it this way, and will support them, not America. The US and Israel will be viewed as the aggressors, even as the unfortunate US sailors in harm’s way become cannon fodder. In the Gulf’s shallow and confined waters evasive maneuvers will be difficult, at best, and escape impossible. Even if US planes control of the skies over the battlefield, the sailors caught in the net below will be hard-pressed to survive. The Gulf will run red with American blood…
From here, it only gets worse. Armed with their Russian-supplied cruise missiles, the Iranians will close the lake’s only outlet, the strategic Strait of Hormuz, cutting off the trapped and dying Americans from help and rescue. The US fleet massing in the Indian Ocean will stand by helplessly, unable to enter the Gulf to assist the survivors or bring logistical support to the other US forces on duty in Iraq. Couple this with a major new ground offensive by the Iraqi insurgents, and, quite suddenly, the tables could turn against the Americans in Baghdad. As supplies and ammunition begin to run out, the status of US forces in the region will become precarious. The occupiers will become the besieged…
With enough anti-ship missiles, the Iranians can halt tanker traffic through Hormuz for weeks, even months. With the flow of oil from the Gulf curtailed, the price of a barrel of crude will skyrocket on the world market. Within days the global economy will begin to grind to a halt. Tempers at an emergency round-the-clock session of the UN Security Council will flare and likely explode into shouting and recriminations as French, German, Chinese and even British ambassadors angrily accuse the US of allowing Israel to threaten world order. But, as always, because of the US veto the world body will be powerless to act.
America will stand alone, completely isolated. Yet, despite the increasingly hostile international mood, elements of the US media will spin the crisis very differently here at home, in a way that is sympathetic to Israel. Members of Congress will rise to speak in the House and Senate, and rally to Israel’s defense, while blaming the victim of the attack, Iran. Fundamentalist Christian talk show hosts will proclaim the historic fulfillment of biblical prophecy in our time, and will call upon the Jews of Israel to accept Jesus into their hearts; meanwhile, urging the president to nuke the evil empire of Islam. From across America will be heard histrionic cries for fresh reinforcements, even a military draft. Patriots will demand victory at any cost. Pundits will scream for an escalation of the conflict.
A war that ostensibly began as an attempt to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons will teeter on the brink of their use…
Conclusion
Friends, we must work together to prevent such a catastrophe. We must stop the next Middle East war before it starts. The US government must turn over to the United Nations the primary responsibility for resolving the deepening crisis in Iraq, and, immediately thereafter, withdraw US forces from the country. We must also prevail upon the Israelis to sign the Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) and open all of their nuclear sites to IAEA inspectors. Only then can serious talks begin with Iran and other states to establish a nuclear weapon free zone (NWFZ) in the Mid East –– so essential to the region’s long-term peace and security.
* * *
Mark Gaffney’s first book, Dimona the Third Temple? (1989), was a pioneering study of Israel’s nuclear weapons program. Mark’s articles about the Mid-East and proliferation issues have appeared in the Middle East Policy Journal, Washington Report On Middle East Affairs, the Earth Island Journal, The Oregonian, the Daily Californian, and have been posted on numerous web sites, especially Counterpunch.org. Mark’s 2003 paper Will Iran Be Next? can be viewed at < www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/iran.htm> Mark’s newest book, Gnostic Secrets of the Naassenes, was released by Inner Traditions Press in May 2003. Email <Mhgaffney@aol.com> For more information go to www.GnosticSecrets.com
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Mark Gaffney’s first book, Dimona the Third Temple? (1989), was a pioneering study of Israel’s nuclear weapons program. Mark’s articles about the Mid-East and proliferation issues have appeared in the Middle East Policy Journal, Washington Report On Middle East Affairs, the Earth Island Journal, The Oregonian, the Daily Californian, and have been posted on numerous web sites, especially Counterpunch.org. Mark’s 2003 paper Will Iran Be Next? can be viewed at < www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/iran.htm> Mark’s newest book, Gnostic Secrets of the Naassenes, was released by Inner Traditions Press in May 2003. Email <Mhgaffney@aol.com> For more information go to www.GnosticSecrets.com
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Friday, October 22, 2004
Nomor Induk Penduduk
Selama ini, tidak ada standar nasional penomoran penduduk di Indonesia. KTP, paspor, ijazah, Kartu Keluarga dan sebagainya menggunakan nomor berbeda-beda. Belum lagi di database polisi, rumah sakit dan sebagainya.
Mengapa Indonesia belum mau belajar dari Amerika Serikat dan sejumlah negara maju lainnya? Di AS, setiap warganegara atau penduduk tetap diharuskan memiliki Social Security Number (SSN). Awalnya code ini digunakan oleh pemerintah federal untuk mengidentifikasi warga yang membayar pajak federal dan Social Security Benefit (semacam tabungan jaminan hari tua). Namun, kode identifikasi itu meluas dan digunakan dimana-mana. Setiap bayi yang baru lahir disarankan mendapatkan SSN agar orang tuanya mendapatkan keringanan pajak saat membayar. SSN juga digunakan saat seseorang mendaftar ke DMV (Department of Motor Vehicles - semacam kantor Polantas) untuk mendapatkan DL (Driver's License - Surat Izin Mengemudi).
SSN juga digunakan sebagai kode identifikasi saat memohon kartu kredit, cicilan rumah (mortgage), mendaftar sekolah, ke dokter, membuat paspor, dan segala macam kartu identitas lainnya. SSN ini dikeluarkan oleh SSA (Social Security Administration - badan federal yang mengurusi penduduk, semacam kantor kelurahan tingkat nasional). Nomornya terdiri dari 9 angka, XXX-BB-ZZZZ, dimana 3 angka pertama menyandikan negara bagian seseorangpertama kali memohon dan sisanya kode unik untuk setiap penduduk.
Penggunaan SSN ini juga mengurangi dampak 'fraud' alias pemakaian identitas palsu. Karena dengan memiliki satu kode SSN dapat digunakan untuk melacak transaksi ilegal, mendapatkan kredit secara mudah (karena bank melaporkan sejarah kredit ke sejumlah badan penyimpan data historis kredit seseorang), dsb.
Sejauh ini, sangat mudah bagi seseorang di Indonesia untuk mengganti-ganti paspor, KTP dan sejumlah kartu identitas lain. Juga tidak ada standardisasi untuk melihat 'credit history' seseorang apakah ia layak mendapatkan pinjaman dari bank, apakah dia pembayar pajak yang patuh dan sebagainya.
Di dunia online, Indonesia termasuk negara yang digolongkan di daftar hitam karena banyaknya kejahatan kartu kredit berasal dari negeri ini. Dengan adanya kode induk seperti SSN di Amerika Serikat, diharapkan akan lebih mudah melacak si pemilik kartu kredit dan melaporkannya. Juga untuk melacak pembayar pajak yang 'ngemplang'.
Mengapa Indonesia belum mau belajar dari Amerika Serikat dan sejumlah negara maju lainnya? Di AS, setiap warganegara atau penduduk tetap diharuskan memiliki Social Security Number (SSN). Awalnya code ini digunakan oleh pemerintah federal untuk mengidentifikasi warga yang membayar pajak federal dan Social Security Benefit (semacam tabungan jaminan hari tua). Namun, kode identifikasi itu meluas dan digunakan dimana-mana. Setiap bayi yang baru lahir disarankan mendapatkan SSN agar orang tuanya mendapatkan keringanan pajak saat membayar. SSN juga digunakan saat seseorang mendaftar ke DMV (Department of Motor Vehicles - semacam kantor Polantas) untuk mendapatkan DL (Driver's License - Surat Izin Mengemudi).
SSN juga digunakan sebagai kode identifikasi saat memohon kartu kredit, cicilan rumah (mortgage), mendaftar sekolah, ke dokter, membuat paspor, dan segala macam kartu identitas lainnya. SSN ini dikeluarkan oleh SSA (Social Security Administration - badan federal yang mengurusi penduduk, semacam kantor kelurahan tingkat nasional). Nomornya terdiri dari 9 angka, XXX-BB-ZZZZ, dimana 3 angka pertama menyandikan negara bagian seseorangpertama kali memohon dan sisanya kode unik untuk setiap penduduk.
Penggunaan SSN ini juga mengurangi dampak 'fraud' alias pemakaian identitas palsu. Karena dengan memiliki satu kode SSN dapat digunakan untuk melacak transaksi ilegal, mendapatkan kredit secara mudah (karena bank melaporkan sejarah kredit ke sejumlah badan penyimpan data historis kredit seseorang), dsb.
Sejauh ini, sangat mudah bagi seseorang di Indonesia untuk mengganti-ganti paspor, KTP dan sejumlah kartu identitas lain. Juga tidak ada standardisasi untuk melihat 'credit history' seseorang apakah ia layak mendapatkan pinjaman dari bank, apakah dia pembayar pajak yang patuh dan sebagainya.
Di dunia online, Indonesia termasuk negara yang digolongkan di daftar hitam karena banyaknya kejahatan kartu kredit berasal dari negeri ini. Dengan adanya kode induk seperti SSN di Amerika Serikat, diharapkan akan lebih mudah melacak si pemilik kartu kredit dan melaporkannya. Juga untuk melacak pembayar pajak yang 'ngemplang'.
Tuesday, October 12, 2004
Rencana Susunan Kabinet SBY?
Menurut Harian Republika (http://www.republika.co.id/ASP/koran_detail.asp?id=175372&kat_id=3), gambaran Kabinet Baru diisukan sebagai berikut:
- Secara umum susunannya hampir sama dengan Kabinet Gotong-Royong.
- Jumlah menteri diperkirakan 34 orang atau bertambah dua orang dari Kabinet Gotong-Royong. Tambahannya berasal dari pemisahan menteri perindustrian dan perdagangan, serta adanya menteri kepemudaan.
- Jumlah menteri koordinator (menko) diperkirakan tetap tiga orang. Akan ada menko yang mencakup bidang hukum. Kemungkinan tema hukum ini digabung dengan menko politik, sosial, dan keamanan (polsoskam), menjadi menko hukum dan polsoskam.
- Pariwisata bisa dilebur ke departemen pendidikan, atau tetap seperti sekarang, atau masuk dalam kementerian kepemudaan.
- Setelah 13 Oktober 2004, nama-nama yang akan ditempatkan dalam kabinet mulai dibahas. Saat ini pembahasan masih berkutat pada persoalan struktur.
Opini
Menurut saya, Kepariwisataan mestinya dilebur dengan Seni-Budaya. Departemennya: Parisiwata, Seni dan Budaya. Khan itu saling terkait? Untuk meningkatkan pariwisata, kita harus pintar-pintar memasarkan seni-budaya tanah air ke luar negeri.
Tentang pemisahan Industri dan perdagangan, saya tidak setuju. Keduanya saling terkait. Lagi pula, pemisahan yang tidak perlu ini akan meningkatkan 'overhead' anggaran untuk operasional masing-masing departemen.
Saya setuju Menko PolSolkam dijadikan Menko HuPolSoskam (Hukum, Politik, Sosial dan Keamanan). Keamanan berkaitan dengan penegakan Hukum. Penegakan hukum dapat berjalan baik jika kehidupan sosial masyarakat dijalankan secara adil. Ini tidak lepas dengan citra Politik pemerintah dan aparatnya dalam penegakan hukum dst. Bisa dilihat keterkaitannya?
Menteri Pendidikan harus tetap ada. Menteri Negara Ristek bisa dilebur dengan Pendidikan. Jadi peningkatan ristek akan berkesinambung dengan penguatan bidang pendidikan.
Menurut saya, jabatan menteri perananan wanita sebaiknya dilebur dengan menteri sosial: Kementerian Sosial dan Kewanitaan. Atau, bubarkan saja jabatan tersebut. Kenapa ada urusan kewanitaan, sementara tidak ada urusan kepriaan, atau anak-anak? Toh, menteri wanita khan bisa menjabat di posisi lain, jadi tidak ada diskriminasi. Apa sih hasil kerja menteri ini selama ini?
Menteri Pertahanan dan Keamanan (Menhankam) harus ada. Jabatan "Join Chief of Staff" (Panglima TNI) dipisahkan oleh seorang jenderal yang melapor langsung ke presiden. Menko Hupolsoskam mengkoordinasikan menteri2 dan tugas panglima ini.
Menteri Pos, Informasi dan Telekomunikasi wajib ada. Dibawahnya akan ada 2 jabatan: dirjen Pos dan Dirjen Informasi & Telekomunikasi. Dengan dijadikannya satu menteri ini, akan semakin baik koordinasi antara departemen2 ini.
Jabatan-jabatan strategis lain yang seharusnya tidak diubah: menteri keuangan, menteri luar negeri, menteri dalam negeri, jaksa agung, menteri kehakiman dan HAM, sekretaris negara.
Usulan lain adalah adanya menteri Tenaga Kerja & Imigrasi yang mengurusi soal demografi, imigrasi, emigrasi, dan transmigrasi serta tenaga kerja. Hal2 tersebut saling berkaitan, khususnya dengan banyaknya kasus perlakuan semena-mena terhadap TKI di luar-negeri, juga peningkatan tenaga kerja berdasarkan distribusi penduduk. Siapa tahu ini mungkin akan menolong "outsourcing"?
Menteri Negara Kepemudaan & Olah-raga sebaiknya ada.
- Secara umum susunannya hampir sama dengan Kabinet Gotong-Royong.
- Jumlah menteri diperkirakan 34 orang atau bertambah dua orang dari Kabinet Gotong-Royong. Tambahannya berasal dari pemisahan menteri perindustrian dan perdagangan, serta adanya menteri kepemudaan.
- Jumlah menteri koordinator (menko) diperkirakan tetap tiga orang. Akan ada menko yang mencakup bidang hukum. Kemungkinan tema hukum ini digabung dengan menko politik, sosial, dan keamanan (polsoskam), menjadi menko hukum dan polsoskam.
- Pariwisata bisa dilebur ke departemen pendidikan, atau tetap seperti sekarang, atau masuk dalam kementerian kepemudaan.
- Setelah 13 Oktober 2004, nama-nama yang akan ditempatkan dalam kabinet mulai dibahas. Saat ini pembahasan masih berkutat pada persoalan struktur.
Opini
Menurut saya, Kepariwisataan mestinya dilebur dengan Seni-Budaya. Departemennya: Parisiwata, Seni dan Budaya. Khan itu saling terkait? Untuk meningkatkan pariwisata, kita harus pintar-pintar memasarkan seni-budaya tanah air ke luar negeri.
Tentang pemisahan Industri dan perdagangan, saya tidak setuju. Keduanya saling terkait. Lagi pula, pemisahan yang tidak perlu ini akan meningkatkan 'overhead' anggaran untuk operasional masing-masing departemen.
Saya setuju Menko PolSolkam dijadikan Menko HuPolSoskam (Hukum, Politik, Sosial dan Keamanan). Keamanan berkaitan dengan penegakan Hukum. Penegakan hukum dapat berjalan baik jika kehidupan sosial masyarakat dijalankan secara adil. Ini tidak lepas dengan citra Politik pemerintah dan aparatnya dalam penegakan hukum dst. Bisa dilihat keterkaitannya?
Menteri Pendidikan harus tetap ada. Menteri Negara Ristek bisa dilebur dengan Pendidikan. Jadi peningkatan ristek akan berkesinambung dengan penguatan bidang pendidikan.
Menurut saya, jabatan menteri perananan wanita sebaiknya dilebur dengan menteri sosial: Kementerian Sosial dan Kewanitaan. Atau, bubarkan saja jabatan tersebut. Kenapa ada urusan kewanitaan, sementara tidak ada urusan kepriaan, atau anak-anak? Toh, menteri wanita khan bisa menjabat di posisi lain, jadi tidak ada diskriminasi. Apa sih hasil kerja menteri ini selama ini?
Menteri Pertahanan dan Keamanan (Menhankam) harus ada. Jabatan "Join Chief of Staff" (Panglima TNI) dipisahkan oleh seorang jenderal yang melapor langsung ke presiden. Menko Hupolsoskam mengkoordinasikan menteri2 dan tugas panglima ini.
Menteri Pos, Informasi dan Telekomunikasi wajib ada. Dibawahnya akan ada 2 jabatan: dirjen Pos dan Dirjen Informasi & Telekomunikasi. Dengan dijadikannya satu menteri ini, akan semakin baik koordinasi antara departemen2 ini.
Jabatan-jabatan strategis lain yang seharusnya tidak diubah: menteri keuangan, menteri luar negeri, menteri dalam negeri, jaksa agung, menteri kehakiman dan HAM, sekretaris negara.
Usulan lain adalah adanya menteri Tenaga Kerja & Imigrasi yang mengurusi soal demografi, imigrasi, emigrasi, dan transmigrasi serta tenaga kerja. Hal2 tersebut saling berkaitan, khususnya dengan banyaknya kasus perlakuan semena-mena terhadap TKI di luar-negeri, juga peningkatan tenaga kerja berdasarkan distribusi penduduk. Siapa tahu ini mungkin akan menolong "outsourcing"?
Menteri Negara Kepemudaan & Olah-raga sebaiknya ada.
Saturday, October 02, 2004
Akankah Kerry Menang Terhadap Bush?
Setelah beberapa debat berlangsung, sejumlah poll menunjukkan kemenangan John Kerry terhadap presiden Bush di Amerika Serikat. Kita tunggu saja siapa yang akan menjadi presiden Amerika berikutnya, dan melakukan perbaikan terhadap kebijakan-kebijakan luar-negerinya yang tidak bersahabat, melemahnya ekonomi domestik dan sejumlah masalah-masalah lokal lainnya.
Saturday, September 25, 2004
Wajib Militer di Amerika?
Di beberapa mailing list muslim sedang cukup ramai didiskusikan draft untuk melaksanakan wajib militer untuk pemuda-pemudi berusia 18-26 tahun (draft H 163, dapat dilihat di thomas.loc.gov).
Terlepas dari apakah lolos-tidaknya draft tersebut di Kongres (yang bila lolos, akan berlaku tahun 2005), apakah ada 'hole' yang dapat memberikan 'exempt' dengan alasan agama? Beberapa posting di milis yang saya ikuti mengatakan bahwa kecil kemungkinan draft tsb. disetujui kongres, selain karena draft tsb. disarankan oleh beberapa anggota sangat liberal dari partai demokrat, juga momennya sudah tidak tepat.
Tetapi siapa tahu kejadian2 di masa datang akan mengubah pikiran kongres (dan rakyat amerika) sehingga draft tersebut berlaku. Allah yahfadzuna!
Terlepas dari apakah lolos-tidaknya draft tersebut di Kongres (yang bila lolos, akan berlaku tahun 2005), apakah ada 'hole' yang dapat memberikan 'exempt' dengan alasan agama? Beberapa posting di milis yang saya ikuti mengatakan bahwa kecil kemungkinan draft tsb. disetujui kongres, selain karena draft tsb. disarankan oleh beberapa anggota sangat liberal dari partai demokrat, juga momennya sudah tidak tepat.
Tetapi siapa tahu kejadian2 di masa datang akan mengubah pikiran kongres (dan rakyat amerika) sehingga draft tersebut berlaku. Allah yahfadzuna!
Saturday, September 18, 2004
Indonesia oh Indonesia!
Senin tanggal 20 September 2004 ini Indonesia akan mengadakan pemilihan umum calon presiden dan wakil presiden. Sangat memprihatinkan kondisi politik di Indonesia yang penuh dengan kampanye liar, politik uang. Selain itu, kedua capres dan cawapres yang maju sangat tidak memuaskan. Satu adalah presiden yg. berjalan dengan suami yg. sangat bermain kotor dengan politik uangnya, sementara yang lain tidak jelas programnya.
Salah siapa?
Ini sepertinya hukuman dari Allah SWT. terhadap segenap bangsa Indonesia.
Salah siapa?
Ini sepertinya hukuman dari Allah SWT. terhadap segenap bangsa Indonesia.
Saturday, September 11, 2004
Negara Amerika: Sombong di luar, bobrok di dalam!
Negara Amerika: Sombong di luar, bobrok di dalam!
Katanya negara Amerika Serikat itu hebat segalanya. Huh, itu sih kata orang dalam ke bangsa lain yang tidak tahu. Coba tengok saja sistem pendidikan dasarnya. Pengajaran Iptek tertinggal dibanding negara lain, ilmu geografi anak-anak sekolahnya rendah, dana buat pendidikan makin berkurang, makin banyak 'homeless' (padahal banyak dari mereka veteran perang Vietnam atau Irak I). Belum lagi harga rumah yang "does not make sense" di beberapa tempat.Sementara itu, milyaran dollar tumpah ke tempat-tempat yang sia-sia seperti mendanai perang yang ngaco, membantu negeri penjahat (Israel) dan sebagainya.
Yang masih kukagumi adalah sistem transportasinya. Jalan-jalan masih mulus dan menjangkau pelosok pedalaman yang mungkin jauhnya ratusan bahkan ribuan Km.
Kok banyak orang di Indonesia "menyembah" negeri sombong ini yah? Coba lihat saja acara teve spt. AFI, Indonesian Idol, perasaan gengsi dengan produk2 asing dsb.
Dunia makin Kacau. Tanda-tanda Kiamat?
Dunia Makin Kacau. Tanda-tanda Kiamat?
Perang dimana-mana. Ribuan orang mati, terutama anak-anak dan wanita. Yang menyedihkan, mayoritas adalah umat islam. Tanda-tanda kecil kiamat sudah makin tampak bermunculan. Mudah-mudahan saya dan anak saya tidak mengalami hal yang sangat menakutkan ini.
Monday, August 23, 2004
Dependensi Qt-x11
Lagi ngoprek Linux nih. Ceritanya, saya lagi me-rekompilasi SuSE Linux 9.1 saya dg. mendownload file2 component mutakhir untuk GUI, terutama KDE. Pertama, saya mencoba mengkompail Qt, ternyata ia bergantung pada sejumlah modul lain spt. gettext, pnet (portable .NET) dan beberapa modul lainnya. Yah, terpaksa deh backtrack ke modul2 tsb. sebelum berhasil mengkompail Qt.
Langkah selanjutnya yg. akan saya lakukan adalah meng-kompail modul-modul KDE. Lihat saja bagaimana nanti, apa berhasil atau tidak.
This message was sent from mMode on an AT&T Wireless phone
Langkah selanjutnya yg. akan saya lakukan adalah meng-kompail modul-modul KDE. Lihat saja bagaimana nanti, apa berhasil atau tidak.
Test Dari MMode.com
Cuma ngetest posting dari email account.
This message was sent from mMode on an AT&T Wireless phone
Tuesday, May 25, 2004
My First at Blogger
Well, this is my first time entering this site. What a cool tool! I wonder how does actually Google make money of this free site? Ok...ok, I know from Advertisements, isn'it?
Anyway, I love this site. May be in near future I'll put more stuff here. For now, that's all I have on this page.
Anyway, I love this site. May be in near future I'll put more stuff here. For now, that's all I have on this page.
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